ATE

Adapt to Experience


Creative destruction is the process by which economic miracles transform the economy.  That process is underway right now.  Is it dangerous?  YES.  Will it destroy my job?  Quite likely.  Will it change how we do things?  Certainly.  Will it transform business practice?  In fundamental ways.  Will it transform politics?  It's already done so, even if the politicians don't know it yet.  

 There's a Ferrari on your desktop.    Why do you still choose to bike?  

Failure and the Internet.

The Internet continues to confound us all.  So much of what everyone believed 10 years ago proved to be nonsense.  Much of the current hype about Twitter and social networks is also "hopeful talking up" and not based on facts.  There is a revolution going on; and we all need to become part of it.  

None of us have any control over where Internet based technologies are taking us.  Yes, that's scary, but it's also a huge opportunity.  For all of us then, the secret is not to be leading the charge as I have been doing for the last 15 years.  That's altogether too risky.  The secret is to be in touch with what's happening and engaged strongly enough to remain adaptable in changing circumstances.  This is where social networking has excellent potential to help you.  Membership of several online groups gives you a listening point, a place where advance knowledge of comming events can reach you.  Just being in that mind set, will allow you to think more openly about the options you have.  

In 1995 the ideal was; that everyone could be well informed, and that there would be a level playing field, so that many of the structural ills of society might be corrected.  The fear was that a digital divide would develop, that some people wouldn't have access to Internet connected machines.  We now have a digital divide.  Even those who are well connected to the Internet, including many of those who say they are competent Internet users are unknowing and incompetent.  

Don Tapscott, author of the book, "Grown up Digital", believes that people who have grown up with the Internet are far more comfortable with the technology.  So far so good, but that doesn't make more than about 20% of them competent users.  If you are going to learn about the Internet easily and well you need a good model to follow.  I suggest that only in 12 households in 100 does a suitable model live.  Those who are active in social networks and blogs have access to good models beyond the home.  

Sadly education on computer use doesn't help.  Teaching people how to use Microsoft programme's and how to use email does almost nothing to make people more competent.  In New Zealand, and around the world Microsoft has been able to dominate the training market in schools and colleges, by offering software at special prices.  Training people to use Microsoft packages does nothing to help them become competent in the Interment based skills they need today.  Sadly far too may people who've been trained this way say "I need a teacher to show me".  ALL you need to know is readily available online.  A teacher is far too much help.  You need to learn how to teach yourself.  Become an independent learner.  

There's no better story looking at business online.  It was assumed that on the Internet everyone would be a potential customers and that the Internet would make it easy to sell online.  That's not the case.  It's much harder to develop an effective business web site than anyone imagined in 1995.  

I did a survey of 60 businesses in Christchurch, all in the engineering, science and high-tech area.  Only 5 had web sites that were anything like functional.  Not a single site in this group was making any effective use of Web 2.0 tools, blogs, podcasts, or effective feedback processes of any kind.  There was lots of effort to SELL, but little understanding of the need to communicate.  In my recent effort to research Internet use, I found four people who were the owners of business web sites.  There were at least as many telling me they intended to develop one.  I do believe in the value of businesses having web sites.  But I don't believe that many companies will succeed with the online proposals they are developing.  The expectations are unrealistic.  The public is not yet capable of using online tools even if they were to be offered.  

Information is power.  When information is freely available, those who are used to exercise power, because they have in the past controlled the information, now find that's difficult.  Governments find it impossible to control what the public knows.  Newspapers no longer control local news.  Whatever you sell, can also be purchased online, often at a lower price.  Nobody can be sure that their job is safe.

There is a tremendous debate going on, online about how to use the Internet for the best purposes.  The cost of being involved is close to ZERO.  The debate is in online forums and blogs.  The participants are everyone who what to be involved.  The VALUE is in self confidence and understanding.  

Surplus

You are NOT going to make a lot of money with your MLM scheme, or by professional blogging, or by selling ebooks online.  The basic reason is in the graph above.  

There is a revolution going on.  If you appreciate that, you might also see how to use it for your advantage.  Be careful though the failure rate remains high.  

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